# \[Flow\] Corona country comparison with Hubei (China)

**URL:** <https://discourse.nodered.org/t/flow-corona-country-comparison-with-hubei-china/23237>\
**Category:** Share Your Projects\
**Created:** [17 March 2020 17:39 UTC](https://discourse.nodered.org/t/flow-corona-country-comparison-with-hubei-china/23237 "2020-03-17T17:39:25Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 23

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![janvda](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex026/user_avatar/discourse.nodered.org/janvda/32/234_2.png) [@janvda](https://discourse.nodered.org/u/janvda)\
**Post date:** [28 March 2020 12:21 UTC](https://discourse.nodered.org/t/flow-corona-country-comparison-with-hubei-china/23237/23 "2020-03-28T12:21:21Z")

</div>

Updated charts for **Italy** with lock down data 2020-03-05

 ![image](https://us1.discourse-cdn.com/flex026/uploads/nodered/original/3X/2/3/23ed86e1a0b5e7f3485e5f1b2f1911dd8ff5c821.png)

**Notes:**

- The Hubei data is smoothed (new feature which is documented in [README.md](https://github.com/janvda/node-red-corona-comparison-hubei/blob/master/README.md))

**Observations:**

1. The Hubei factor has increased a little bit from 6.186 (22 March - 6 days ago) to 6.259 (20,000 deaths)
2. It must be noted that in terms of curve fitting (chart `"total deaths (limited to 7 days in future)"`) a `"lock down date"` of 2020-03-07 (2 days later) gives a slightly better fit and would give a hubei factor of 8.064 (25,000 deaths)
3. The new confirmed cases for Italy will go rapidly down from 31 March (or maybe 2 days later) onwards if it is following the Hubei curve.
4. The number of deaths for Italy will go rapidly down from 7th April (or maybe 2 days later) onwards if it is following the Hubei curve.

---

_[View the full topic](https://discourse.nodered.org/t/flow-corona-country-comparison-with-hubei-china/23237)._
