Here below the charts for Spain based on a lock down date = 12th of March.
When looking at total deaths Chart:
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Spain (similarly to Italy) might expect up to 15,000 deaths.
So the situation in Spain is 5 times (see hubei factor) as severe compared to the Province Hubei in China.
disclaimer - this is just an extrapolation based on the historical hubei data and the chosen lock down date of 12th of March. E.g. Using as Lock down date = 9th of March (3 days earlier) reduced the total death with 50% (hubei factor = 2.3 instead of 5.1).
