Charts for Belgium with lock down date = 2020-03-12 but also including following manually added stats for today = 2020-0-28:
- new deaths = 64
- new confirmed cases = 1000 (just a rough guess - this number is not that important at this stage).
Observations
- Hubei factor is now 0.449 (1,400 deaths) while in post 18 ( 3 days ago) it was 0.324.
- You can also see in chart
"total deaths (limited to 7 days in future)"that Belgium is not following the Hubei chart. The number of deaths is more rapidly increasing for Belgium. We get a better fit when using 2020-03-17 (hubei factor = 0.843) or 2020-03-18 (hubei factor = 1.023) as lock down date. This is a troubling as it indicates that the measures taken by the Belgium government at 2020-03-12 don't have the same effect as the lock down measures taken by Hubei.
