The charts allow you also to check a potential impact of delaying drastic measures (= lock down date parameter).
For the United Kingdom:
- (chart 1 below) if lock down date = 18th of March 2020 then about 13,000 deaths might be expected.
- (chart 2 below) if lock down date = 13th of March 2020 then about 1,800 deaths might be expected.
So in case of the UK: delaying the drastic measures with 5 days increased the number of deaths with a factor 7.
chart 1: United Kingdom with lock down date 3/18/2020
chart 2: United Kingdom with lock down date 3/13/2020
