Comparison UK with Italy
Observation
- number of new confirmed cases per day is in Italy 18.6 per million compared to 69.7 per million for the UK and this for the same amount of tests. So at 8th of May a UK person had almost 4 times more chance to become infected than an Italian person.
- Reproduction number in Italy stays low for several weeks. It is now 0.65 based on last 2 weeks => This means that before the 1st of July they will go below 1 new confirmed case per day per million people (which is 19 times less than today).
- Reproduction number is again going up in the UK. It is now 0.85 based on last 2 weeks => This means that it will take until November before they go below 1 new confirmed case per day per million people (which is 70 times less than today).
