Charts for Spain with lock down date 2020-03-15
Observations and Notes:
- I have taken lock down data 2020-03-15 instead of 2020-03-12 (see my post 11) as this resulted in better fit with the Hubei data.
- The Hubei factor is 10.605 (33,000 deaths) which is worse than Italy (hubei factor between 6.259 and 8.064 - see my previous post)
- A lock down data of 2020-03-15 also means that Spain is about 8 to 10 days behind what is happening in Italy.
- Confirmed cases will go rapidly down from 10th April onwards if they follow the Hubei curve.
- Deaths will go rapidly down from 17th April onwards.if they follow the Hubei curve.
