Chart for the Netherlands with lock down date = 2020-03-15
Notes and Observations:
- Hubei factor = 1.088 - so based on this model the Netherlands might expect the same deaths (3500) as Hubei. (Take care that the population of Italy is 3.5 times as much as the population of the Netherlands).
- I have taken as lock down date = 2020-03-15 as currently this gives a good match with Hubei (see chart "total deaths (limited to 7 days in future)... but it must be noted that the measures in the Netherlands are currently far from the actual lock down measures taken in Hubei. So the coming days we will see that the limited dutch measures have similar positive effect as in Hubei.
