Updated charts for Italy with lock down date 202-03-05
Observations:
- Hubei factor increased from 5.424 to 6.186 compared to same charts generated 3 days ago (2020-03-19) for same lock down date. So Italy might expect more than 6 times the amount of deaths compared to Hubei.
- In chart "total deaths (limited to 7 days in the future)" you see that the curve is more rapidly increasing compared to Hubei. This is concerning. It might mean that Italy is not following the same path as Hubei. So the measures taken by Italy around 2020-03-05 don't have the same positive effect as the measures taken by Hubei when they introduced the lock-down.